IMD Monsoon Update: July 11 Forecast Predicts Moderate to Heavy Rain Across Odisha, Jharkhand, MP, Punjab & Haryana

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast moderate to heavy rainfall today across several central and northern states, including Odisha, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Haryana, and Punjab. Isolated locations may witness intense downpours, accompanied by thunderstorms and strong winds.

This update is part of a broader monsoon revival, as a cyclonic circulation over south Jharkhand interacting with the monsoon trough is expected to intensify precipitation across the region .

Today’s Rainfall Outlook – July 11 Snapshot

• Odisha, Jharkhand & Chhattisgarh: Isolated heavy to very heavy showers expected .

• Madhya Pradesh & Vidarbha: Widespread heavy rainfall predicted from July 11 to 16.

• Punjab & Haryana: Isolated heavy rainfall today, especially over Chandigarh and adjoining plains .

• Uttar Pradesh & Uttarakhand: Scattered moderate showers with thunderstorms, occasional heavy falls .

• Odisha coastal areas: Likely to see heavy rain again by midweek .

Cyclonic Circulation & Monsoon Trough – The Rain Trigger

An active cyclonic circulation over south Jharkhand, extending into the northeast Arabian Sea and adjoining trough lines, is driving increased moisture inflow into central India . This atmospheric setup is linked to:

• Widespread rain activity across Central and East India until July 16 .

• Repeated heavy rain events in Himachal, Punjab, Haryana by July 11 .

• Thunderstorms with gusty winds likely in plains and hilly regions

Warning Levels & Advisories for July 11

• Heavy rain warning: Isolated but potentially disruptive showers over Odisha, Chhattisgarh, MP, Punjab, Haryana

• Thunderstorm alerts: With possible lightning and wind gusts of 30–40 km/h across Jharkhand, Odisha, WP, UT .

• High wind caution: Coastal Karnataka, Kerala to see strong winds; central India may also experience gusty wind conditions .

State-Wise Forecast & Impact

Odisha

• Isolated heavy rainfall forecasted, especially in coastal and south-central zones through mid-July

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• Advisory: Fishermen should avoid sea ventures; flood-prone rivers and low-lying areas may pose hazards.

Jharkhand & Chhattisgarh

• Scattered heavy rain expected, with thunderstorms; wind gusts increasing possibility of local flooding

Madhya Pradesh & Vidarbha

• Widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall predicted in parts of MP and Vidarbha until July 16

Punjab & Haryana

• Isolated heavy showers expected today, offering relief from peak summer heat .

Uttar Pradesh & Uttarakhand

• Moderate to heavy rain with thunderstorms anticipated in central and eastern UP, Uttarakhand, through July 11–13

Temperature Trends & Weather Relief

Expectations for cooler daytime highs are in place across the plains. Cities like Delhi may record maximum temperatures 2–8 °C below normal, with health benefits in the pre-monsoon heat wave .

Safety Measures & Public Advice

1. Avoid low-lying and flood-prone areas, particularly in Odisha and MP.

2. Secure loose objects near homes—heavy winds may cause flying debris.

3. Farmers should delay harvesting in light of heavy rain forecasts.

4. Fishermen: Refrain from sea activity along Odisha, Konkan, and Kerala coasts.

5. Power management: Be cautious during thunderstorms—stay indoors and avoid trees/poles .

Long-Term Monsoon Outlook

The IMD projects above-normal rainfall in central and northwest India during July 10–16, driven by monsoon strengthening across basins . Long-range forecasts suggest consistent rain through mid-month, bolstering reservoir levels and reducing summer heat.

Today’s July 11 monsoon alert marks a potential turning point in the seasonal rains across Odisha, Jharkhand, MP, Punjab, Haryana, and neighboring states. With isolated heavy showers and thunderstorms expected, residents are advised to stay cautious and informed.

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